Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Portugal0–0Colombia

Elo change: Portugal +2

Pre-game: 35% / 27% / 38%

Colombia goals →
012345+
← Portugal goals08.7%10.9%6.8%2.8%0.9%
110.4%13.0%8.1%3.4%1.1%
26.2%7.7%4.8%2.0%0.6%
32.4%3.1%1.9%0.8%
40.7%0.9%0.6%
5+

Gold = actual result (0–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
ColombiaK-2+34.5%-34.5%——+10.0%+8.1%+2.5%+1.0%+0.6%
FranceI+0——————+0.1%—+0.1%
MoroccoC+0———————+0.2%+0.1%
SpainH+0——————+0.4%+0.2%+0.1%
CanadaB+0—————————
AustriaJ+0—+0.3%—+0.2%—+0.2%———
ArgentinaJ+0————-0.2%—+0.2%+0.1%—
IranG+0————+0.5%+0.1%+0.1%——
NetherlandsF+0—————-0.2%-0.1%——
SenegalI+0————+0.5%+0.3%—+0.1%—
GhanaL+0————-1.1%-0.2%———
Ivory CoastE+0—————-0.2%———
Cabo VerdeH+0————+0.3%+0.2%———
NorwayI+0—————-0.1%———
DR CongoK+0—-0.3%+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%————
ParaguayD+0————+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%—
BelgiumG+0————-0.5%-0.2%—-0.1%—
South KoreaA+0—————————
BrazilC+0————+0.3%+0.4%+0.2%——
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0—————+0.2%+0.1%——
MexicoA+0————+0.3%—-0.3%——
JapanF+0————-0.3%-0.1%———
South AfricaA+0—————+0.2%———
SwedenF+0—————+0.5%+0.2%——
United StatesD+0—————-0.3%-0.2%——
AustraliaD+0——————-0.3%——
EcuadorE+0————-0.3%-0.2%———
AlgeriaJ+0—-0.3%+0.3%——————
GermanyE+0————-0.1%-0.4%-0.1%——
EgyptG+0——————-0.2%——
CroatiaL+0————-0.1%————
EnglandL+0————-0.1%——-0.3%-0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0————-0.4%-0.9%-0.6%-0.2%-0.2%
PortugalK+2-34.5%+34.8%-0.3%—-8.8%-7.0%-2.0%-0.9%-0.4%