Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Portugal00Colombia

Elo change: Portugal +2

Pre-game: 35% / 27% / 38%

Colombia goals →
012345+
Portugal goals08.7%10.9%6.8%2.8%0.9%
110.4%13.0%8.1%3.4%1.1%
26.2%7.7%4.8%2.0%0.6%
32.4%3.1%1.9%0.8%
40.7%0.9%0.6%
5+

Gold = actual result (0–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
ColombiaK-2+34.5%-34.5%+10.0%+8.1%+2.5%+1.0%+0.6%
FranceI+0+0.1%+0.1%
MoroccoC+0+0.2%+0.1%
SpainH+0+0.4%+0.2%+0.1%
CanadaB+0
AustriaJ+0+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
IranG+0+0.5%+0.1%+0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-0.2%-0.1%
SenegalI+0+0.5%+0.3%+0.1%
GhanaL+0-1.1%-0.2%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.2%
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.3%+0.2%
NorwayI+0-0.1%
DR CongoK+0-0.3%+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%
ParaguayD+0+0.1%-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%
BelgiumG+0-0.5%-0.2%-0.1%
South KoreaA+0
BrazilC+0+0.3%+0.4%+0.2%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.2%+0.1%
MexicoA+0+0.3%-0.3%
JapanF+0-0.3%-0.1%
South AfricaA+0+0.2%
SwedenF+0+0.5%+0.2%
United StatesD+0-0.3%-0.2%
AustraliaD+0-0.3%
EcuadorE+0-0.3%-0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.3%+0.3%
GermanyE+0-0.1%-0.4%-0.1%
EgyptG+0-0.2%
CroatiaL+0-0.1%
EnglandL+0-0.1%-0.3%-0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.4%-0.9%-0.6%-0.2%-0.2%
PortugalK+2-34.5%+34.8%-0.3%-8.8%-7.0%-2.0%-0.9%-0.4%