Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Argentina3–1Jordan

Elo change: Argentina +4

Pre-game: 89% / 8% / 3%

Jordan goals →
012345+
← Argentina goals02.2%1.2%
17.1%3.9%1.1%
211.6%6.4%1.8%
312.7%7.0%1.9%
410.5%5.8%1.6%
5+13.6%7.5%2.1%

Gold = actual result (3–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
SpainH+0—————+0.2%+0.5%+0.3%+0.4%
FranceI+0————+0.3%+0.2%+0.7%+0.3%+0.3%
BrazilC+0————+0.5%+0.6%+0.7%+0.4%+0.2%
SwedenF+0————-0.3%-0.1%—+0.2%+0.1%
SenegalI+0————+0.5%+0.4%+0.4%—+0.1%
CroatiaL+0————+0.8%+0.3%+0.1%+0.2%—
MexicoA+0————+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.2%—
MoroccoC+0————+0.3%—+0.1%+0.1%—
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0————-0.3%-0.3%———
South AfricaA+0————+0.4%+0.1%———
DR CongoK+0————+0.3%+0.2%+0.2%——
ArgentinaJ+4————+0.1%+1.1%+1.0%+0.2%—
ParaguayD+0—————-0.1%+0.1%——
AlgeriaJ+0——-0.5%-0.4%-0.2%————
GhanaL+0—————+0.1%———
JordanJ-4—————————
Cabo VerdeH+0—————————
SwitzerlandB+0————+0.2%+0.2%-0.1%——
EgyptG+0————-0.2%————
Ivory CoastE+0—————————
CanadaB+0————-0.4%+0.4%-0.2%——
NetherlandsF+0————-0.2%-0.6%-0.7%——
BelgiumG+0————-0.5%-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%—
IranG+0——+0.5%+0.5%—-0.1%———
EcuadorE+0————-0.2%-0.3%-0.3%——
PortugalK+0————-0.8%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%—
AustraliaD+0————+0.2%-1.2%-0.6%-0.3%—
JapanF+0————-0.5%-0.2%-0.1%——
AustriaJ+0————-0.2%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
NorwayI+0—————-0.4%-0.5%-0.2%-0.1%
United StatesD+0————+0.3%+0.2%—-0.2%-0.1%
EnglandL+0————-0.3%—-0.3%—-0.2%
GermanyE+0————————-0.2%
ColombiaK+0——————-0.3%-0.3%-0.3%