Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Algeria3–3Austria

Elo change: Algeria +5

Pre-game: 34% / 27% / 39%

Austria goals →
012345+
← Algeria goals08.6%11.0%7.1%3.0%1.0%
110.0%12.9%8.3%3.6%1.1%
25.9%7.5%4.8%2.1%0.7%
32.3%2.9%1.9%0.8%
40.7%0.9%0.6%
5+

Gold = actual result (3–3).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
AustriaJ-5—+33.9%—+33.9%+10.9%+5.0%+2.5%+1.2%+0.6%
AlgeriaJ+5—-33.9%+72.8%+39.0%+20.9%+9.2%+3.1%+1.3%+0.4%
GermanyE+0————-0.3%—+0.2%+0.2%+0.3%
ArgentinaJ+0—————-0.1%-0.1%+0.2%+0.3%
United StatesD+0————-0.3%-0.2%+0.2%—+0.1%
JapanF+0————+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%—
EnglandL+0————+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%+0.2%—
BelgiumG+0————+0.5%+0.3%+0.5%+0.2%—
SwitzerlandB+0————-1.3%-0.5%—-0.2%—
MexicoA+0————+0.8%————
EgyptG+0————+0.2%—+0.1%——
PortugalK+0————+0.2%+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%—
AustraliaD+0————-0.2%+0.1%———
CanadaB+0————+0.3%+0.1%+0.2%——
NetherlandsF+0————-0.2%+0.1%———
SenegalI+0————-0.5%-0.3%—+0.1%—
EcuadorE+0————-0.8%——+0.1%—
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0————+0.3%+0.3%+0.1%——
GhanaL+0—————————
Cabo VerdeH+0—————————
DR CongoK+0————-0.4%-0.4%-0.3%——
South AfricaA+0————-0.3%-0.3%———
MoroccoC+0————+0.2%—-0.1%——
ColombiaK+0—————-0.7%-0.6%-0.2%—
Ivory CoastE+0—————-0.2%———
ParaguayD+0————+0.3%—-0.1%——
CroatiaL+0————-0.2%-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%—
NorwayI+0—————-0.1%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
SwedenF+0———————-0.1%-0.1%
BrazilC+0————-0.3%——-0.1%-0.1%
FranceI+0————————-0.1%
IranG+0——-72.8%-72.8%-28.7%-11.7%-4.2%-1.7%-0.7%
SpainH+0————-1.8%-0.9%-1.1%-0.7%-0.7%