Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

South Africa0–1Canada

Elo change: South Africa -16

Pre-game: 38% / 62%

Canada goals →
012345+
← South Africa goals07.4%11.6%9.1%4.7%1.8%0.8%
17.7%12.0%9.4%4.9%1.9%0.8%
24.0%6.2%4.9%2.5%1.0%
31.4%2.2%1.7%0.9%
40.6%
5+

Gold = actual result (0–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
CanadaB+16————+37.9%+13.8%+5.3%+2.0%+0.9%
ColombiaK+0————+0.2%+0.5%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%
NorwayI+0————+0.1%+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
SpainH+0————-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%+0.2%
BrazilC+0————-0.2%-0.3%-0.5%-0.1%+0.1%
MexicoA+0————-0.2%+0.1%—+0.1%—
AlgeriaJ+0————+0.3%-0.1%———
United StatesD+0——————-0.2%+0.1%—
Ivory CoastE+0————-0.1%+0.1%+0.1%——
ParaguayD+0—————-0.1%———
PortugalK+0————+0.2%-0.2%+0.7%+0.3%—
GhanaL+0————-0.2%————
DR CongoK+0————+0.6%————
Cabo VerdeH+0————-0.1%————
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0—————-0.2%-0.2%——
JapanF+0————+0.2%-0.4%-0.1%——
SwedenF+0—————-0.2%-0.3%——
MoroccoC+0————-0.5%-1.6%-0.6%-0.1%—
AustriaJ+0————+0.4%——-0.1%—
EcuadorE+0————+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%——
EnglandL+0————-0.6%-0.3%+0.1%-0.1%—
BelgiumG+0————-0.5%-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%—
EgyptG+0—————+0.2%-0.2%——
FranceI+0——————-0.9%-0.1%—
CroatiaL+0————-0.2%+0.4%+0.2%——
SenegalI+0————+0.5%+0.5%—-0.1%-0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0————-0.3%-0.3%——-0.1%
AustraliaD+0—————-0.3%-0.2%—-0.1%
South AfricaA-16————-37.9%-9.8%-2.2%-0.6%-0.2%
GermanyE+0—————+0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
NetherlandsF+0————+0.5%-2.5%-1.0%-0.6%-0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0————+0.1%+0.1%—-0.4%-0.5%