Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

South Africa01Canada

Elo change: South Africa -16

Pre-game: 38% / 62%

Canada goals →
012345+
South Africa goals07.4%11.6%9.1%4.7%1.8%0.8%
17.7%12.0%9.4%4.9%1.9%0.8%
24.0%6.2%4.9%2.5%1.0%
31.4%2.2%1.7%0.9%
40.6%
5+

Gold = actual result (0–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
CanadaB+16+37.9%+13.8%+5.3%+2.0%+0.9%
ColombiaK+0+0.2%+0.5%+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%
NorwayI+0+0.1%+0.5%+0.2%+0.2%+0.2%
SpainH+0-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%+0.2%
BrazilC+0-0.2%-0.3%-0.5%-0.1%+0.1%
MexicoA+0-0.2%+0.1%+0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.3%-0.1%
United StatesD+0-0.2%+0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.1%+0.1%+0.1%
ParaguayD+0-0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.7%+0.3%
GhanaL+0-0.2%
DR CongoK+0+0.6%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.2%-0.2%
JapanF+0+0.2%-0.4%-0.1%
SwedenF+0-0.2%-0.3%
MoroccoC+0-0.5%-1.6%-0.6%-0.1%
AustriaJ+0+0.4%-0.1%
EcuadorE+0+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%
EnglandL+0-0.6%-0.3%+0.1%-0.1%
BelgiumG+0-0.5%-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%
EgyptG+0+0.2%-0.2%
FranceI+0-0.9%-0.1%
CroatiaL+0-0.2%+0.4%+0.2%
SenegalI+0+0.5%+0.5%-0.1%-0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.3%-0.3%-0.1%
AustraliaD+0-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%
South AfricaA-16-37.9%-9.8%-2.2%-0.6%-0.2%
GermanyE+0+0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
NetherlandsF+0+0.5%-2.5%-1.0%-0.6%-0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.1%+0.1%-0.4%-0.5%