Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Brazil2–1Japan

Elo change: Brazil +22

Pre-game: 57% / 43%

Japan goals →
012345+
← Brazil goals09.2%9.8%5.2%1.8%0.5%
112.2%12.9%6.8%2.4%0.6%
28.1%8.6%4.5%1.6%
33.6%3.8%2.0%0.7%
41.2%1.3%0.7%
5+

Gold = actual result (2–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
BrazilC+22————+43.7%+26.4%+14.2%+6.8%+3.5%
ArgentinaJ+0—————-0.2%—-0.1%+0.3%
EcuadorE+0————+0.8%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%+0.1%
CroatiaL+0————+0.4%-0.2%———
EnglandL+0————+0.4%+0.2%-0.4%-0.2%—
ParaguayD+0————+0.4%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%—
MoroccoC+0————+0.4%————
AustraliaD+0————-0.1%+0.2%+0.2%——
DR CongoK+0————-0.4%+0.2%—-0.1%—
Cabo VerdeH+0—————————
SpainH+0————+0.2%+0.6%+0.7%+0.5%—
GhanaL+0—————————
EgyptG+0————+0.1%—+0.1%——
SenegalI+0————-0.7%-0.7%-0.5%-0.1%—
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0—————————
SwitzerlandB+0—————+0.2%-0.1%-0.1%—
SwedenF+0————-0.3%-0.1%———
BelgiumG+0————+0.7%+0.6%+0.2%——
AlgeriaJ+0—————————
United StatesD+0—————+0.1%———
CanadaB+0—————+0.3%———
ColombiaK+0—————-0.2%-0.1%——
PortugalK+0————-0.4%-0.2%-0.4%——
AustriaJ+0————-0.2%-0.1%———
GermanyE+0————-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%—
Ivory CoastE+0————-0.2%-0.7%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
FranceI+0————+0.3%+0.1%—-0.1%-0.1%
NetherlandsF+0————-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
NorwayI+0————+0.2%-2.2%-1.0%-0.3%-0.2%
MexicoA+0————-0.8%-0.6%-0.8%-0.4%-0.2%
JapanF-22————-43.7%-23.4%-11.5%-5.3%-2.6%