Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Brazil21Japan

Elo change: Brazil +22

Pre-game: 57% / 43%

Japan goals →
012345+
Brazil goals09.2%9.8%5.2%1.8%0.5%
112.2%12.9%6.8%2.4%0.6%
28.1%8.6%4.5%1.6%
33.6%3.8%2.0%0.7%
41.2%1.3%0.7%
5+

Gold = actual result (2–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
BrazilC+22+43.7%+26.4%+14.2%+6.8%+3.5%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.2%-0.1%+0.3%
EcuadorE+0+0.8%+0.2%-0.2%-0.1%+0.1%
CroatiaL+0+0.4%-0.2%
EnglandL+0+0.4%+0.2%-0.4%-0.2%
ParaguayD+0+0.4%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%
MoroccoC+0+0.4%
AustraliaD+0-0.1%+0.2%+0.2%
DR CongoK+0-0.4%+0.2%-0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0
SpainH+0+0.2%+0.6%+0.7%+0.5%
GhanaL+0
EgyptG+0+0.1%+0.1%
SenegalI+0-0.7%-0.7%-0.5%-0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0
SwitzerlandB+0+0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
SwedenF+0-0.3%-0.1%
BelgiumG+0+0.7%+0.6%+0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0
United StatesD+0+0.1%
CanadaB+0+0.3%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%-0.1%
PortugalK+0-0.4%-0.2%-0.4%
AustriaJ+0-0.2%-0.1%
GermanyE+0-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
Ivory CoastE+0-0.2%-0.7%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
FranceI+0+0.3%+0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-0.4%-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
NorwayI+0+0.2%-2.2%-1.0%-0.3%-0.2%
MexicoA+0-0.8%-0.6%-0.8%-0.4%-0.2%
JapanF-22-43.7%-23.4%-11.5%-5.3%-2.6%