Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Spain3–0Austria

Elo change: Spain +15

Pre-game: 70% / 30%

Austria goals →
012345+
← Spain goals07.0%6.2%2.8%0.8%
112.3%11.0%4.9%1.5%
210.9%9.8%4.4%1.3%
36.4%5.8%2.6%0.8%
42.8%2.5%1.1%
5+1.4%1.3%0.6%

Gold = actual result (3–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
SpainH+15————+30.3%+19.2%+13.3%+8.3%+4.8%
GhanaL+0————+0.3%+0.1%———
EgyptG+0————+0.3%————
AlgeriaJ+0————-0.1%————
ArgentinaJ+0—————+0.5%+0.5%+0.1%—
AustraliaD+0————-0.3%-0.5%-0.1%——
BrazilC+0—————-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
MoroccoC+0—————+0.2%+0.2%-0.5%-0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0————+0.1%—-0.1%—-0.1%
ColombiaK+0————-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%—-0.2%
MexicoA+0—————+0.1%-0.1%—-0.2%
EnglandL+0—————-0.1%—-0.2%-0.2%
ParaguayD+0—————-0.9%-0.3%-0.4%-0.2%
CroatiaL+0————-0.2%-2.7%-1.1%-0.4%-0.2%
NorwayI+0—————+0.2%+0.2%+0.1%-0.3%
CanadaB+0—————-0.2%-0.4%-0.5%-0.3%
BelgiumG+0—————-0.2%-1.7%-0.9%-0.3%
FranceI+0—————+0.9%+0.5%-1.0%-0.4%
PortugalK+0————+0.2%-3.1%-1.5%-0.6%-0.4%
United StatesD+0—————+0.2%-2.5%-1.1%-0.5%
AustriaJ-15————-30.3%-13.5%-6.5%-2.9%-1.3%