Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Portugal2–1Croatia

Elo change: Portugal +23

Pre-game: 55% / 45%

Croatia goals →
012345+
← Portugal goals08.6%9.7%5.4%2.0%0.6%
111.4%12.8%7.2%2.7%0.8%
27.6%8.6%4.8%1.8%0.5%
33.4%3.8%2.1%0.8%
41.1%1.3%0.7%
5+

Gold = actual result (2–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
PortugalK+23————+45.0%+17.3%+10.5%+5.6%+3.0%
ParaguayD+0—————+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%—
AlgeriaJ+0—————-0.2%-0.1%——
NorwayI+0——————+0.1%——
BelgiumG+0—————-0.1%-0.6%-0.2%—
SpainH+0—————-1.0%-0.4%-0.1%—
Cabo VerdeH+0————-0.1%————
MexicoA+0—————-0.3%—+0.2%—
GhanaL+0————-0.2%————
CanadaB+0———————-0.1%—
AustraliaD+0—————+0.3%+0.1%——
EgyptG+0—————————
EnglandL+0—————+0.3%-0.1%——
MoroccoC+0——————-0.2%-0.2%—
BrazilC+0————————-0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0—————-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
United StatesD+0—————+0.1%-0.8%-0.4%-0.2%
FranceI+0—————-0.5%—-0.4%-0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0————+0.1%-0.3%——-0.2%
ColombiaK+0————+0.2%+0.4%——-0.3%
CroatiaL-23————-45.0%-16.3%-8.8%-4.4%-2.0%