Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Portugal21Croatia

Elo change: Portugal +23

Pre-game: 55% / 45%

Croatia goals →
012345+
Portugal goals08.6%9.7%5.4%2.0%0.6%
111.4%12.8%7.2%2.7%0.8%
27.6%8.6%4.8%1.8%0.5%
33.4%3.8%2.1%0.8%
41.1%1.3%0.7%
5+

Gold = actual result (2–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
PortugalK+23+45.0%+17.3%+10.5%+5.6%+3.0%
ParaguayD+0+0.5%+0.3%+0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.2%-0.1%
NorwayI+0+0.1%
BelgiumG+0-0.1%-0.6%-0.2%
SpainH+0-1.0%-0.4%-0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.1%
MexicoA+0-0.3%+0.2%
GhanaL+0-0.2%
CanadaB+0-0.1%
AustraliaD+0+0.3%+0.1%
EgyptG+0
EnglandL+0+0.3%-0.1%
MoroccoC+0-0.2%-0.2%
BrazilC+0-0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
United StatesD+0+0.1%-0.8%-0.4%-0.2%
FranceI+0-0.5%-0.4%-0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0+0.2%+0.4%-0.3%
CroatiaL-23-45.0%-16.3%-8.8%-4.4%-2.0%