Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Belgium3–2Senegal

Elo change: Belgium +26

Pre-game: 52% / 48%

Senegal goals →
012345+
← Belgium goals08.2%10.0%6.0%2.4%0.7%
110.6%12.8%7.7%3.1%0.9%
26.8%8.3%5.0%2.0%0.6%
32.9%3.5%2.1%0.9%
40.9%1.1%0.7%
5+

Gold = actual result (3–2).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
BelgiumG+26————+48.0%+23.9%+10.2%+4.8%+2.2%
United StatesD+0————-0.5%-0.6%-0.4%—+0.2%
SpainH+0————+0.6%+0.4%—+0.4%+0.1%
ColombiaK+0—————-0.5%——+0.1%
EnglandL+0—————-0.1%———
SwitzerlandB+0————+0.4%+0.3%—+0.1%—
BrazilC+0—————-0.3%-0.3%-0.2%—
AustriaJ+0————-0.6%-0.2%-0.2%——
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0————+0.5%————
EgyptG+0————-0.6%-0.2%———
GhanaL+0—————+0.2%+0.1%——
CanadaB+0—————-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%—
NorwayI+0—————+0.3%+0.1%+0.3%—
CroatiaL+0————+0.2%+0.2%———
AlgeriaJ+0————-0.4%—+0.2%——
ArgentinaJ+0——————-0.2%-0.2%—
MexicoA+0—————+0.1%+0.2%——
ParaguayD+0—————+0.2%—-0.2%-0.2%
PortugalK+0————-0.2%-0.3%-0.5%-0.1%-0.2%
MoroccoC+0—————+0.2%+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%
AustraliaD+0————+0.6%+0.1%—-0.2%-0.2%
FranceI+0—————-0.2%—-0.4%-0.3%
SenegalI-26————-48.0%-23.3%-9.2%-4.1%-1.7%