Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Belgium32Senegal

Elo change: Belgium +26

Pre-game: 52% / 48%

Senegal goals →
012345+
Belgium goals08.2%10.0%6.0%2.4%0.7%
110.6%12.8%7.7%3.1%0.9%
26.8%8.3%5.0%2.0%0.6%
32.9%3.5%2.1%0.9%
40.9%1.1%0.7%
5+

Gold = actual result (3–2).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
BelgiumG+26+48.0%+23.9%+10.2%+4.8%+2.2%
United StatesD+0-0.5%-0.6%-0.4%+0.2%
SpainH+0+0.6%+0.4%+0.4%+0.1%
ColombiaK+0-0.5%+0.1%
EnglandL+0-0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%
BrazilC+0-0.3%-0.3%-0.2%
AustriaJ+0-0.6%-0.2%-0.2%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.5%
EgyptG+0-0.6%-0.2%
GhanaL+0+0.2%+0.1%
CanadaB+0-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
NorwayI+0+0.3%+0.1%+0.3%
CroatiaL+0+0.2%+0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.4%+0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.2%-0.2%
MexicoA+0+0.1%+0.2%
ParaguayD+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
PortugalK+0-0.2%-0.3%-0.5%-0.1%-0.2%
MoroccoC+0+0.2%+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%
AustraliaD+0+0.6%+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%
FranceI+0-0.2%-0.4%-0.3%
SenegalI-26-48.0%-23.3%-9.2%-4.1%-1.7%