Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

France30Sweden

Elo change: France +11

Pre-game: 75% / 25%

Sweden goals →
012345+
France goals05.7%4.8%2.0%0.6%
111.5%9.7%4.1%1.2%
211.6%9.8%4.2%1.2%
37.8%6.6%2.8%0.8%
43.9%3.3%1.4%
5+2.3%2.0%0.8%

Gold = actual result (3–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
FranceI+11+25.1%+17.8%+12.2%+7.2%+4.1%
MexicoA+0-0.2%+0.1%
EcuadorE+0+0.2%
GhanaL+0-0.3%
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.1%
EgyptG+0+0.4%+0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.2%-0.1%-0.3%-0.1%
DR CongoK+0-0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+0.2%+0.2%
BelgiumG+0-0.3%+0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%
SpainH+0+0.2%-0.4%
SenegalI+0+0.3%-0.3%
NorwayI+0+0.3%
AustraliaD+0-0.4%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
CanadaB+0-1.3%-0.4%-0.1%
PortugalK+0-0.1%-0.2%-0.4%-0.1%
AustriaJ+0-0.2%-0.2%
EnglandL+0+0.1%+0.2%-0.2%
BrazilC+0-0.3%-0.2%
United StatesD+0-0.2%-0.3%-0.5%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0+0.3%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
CroatiaL+0-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.1%+0.4%+0.1%-0.3%
ParaguayD+0-5.9%-2.9%-1.3%-0.4%
MoroccoC+0-2.3%-1.1%-0.6%
SwedenF-11-25.1%-11.9%-5.7%-2.1%-0.8%