Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

France3–0Sweden

Elo change: France +11

Pre-game: 75% / 25%

Sweden goals →
012345+
← France goals05.7%4.8%2.0%0.6%
111.5%9.7%4.1%1.2%
211.6%9.8%4.2%1.2%
37.8%6.6%2.8%0.8%
43.9%3.3%1.4%
5+2.3%2.0%0.8%

Gold = actual result (3–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
FranceI+11————+25.1%+17.8%+12.2%+7.2%+4.1%
MexicoA+0————-0.2%———+0.1%
EcuadorE+0————+0.2%————
GhanaL+0————-0.3%————
Cabo VerdeH+0————+0.1%————
EgyptG+0————+0.4%—+0.1%——
SwitzerlandB+0————-0.2%-0.1%-0.3%-0.1%—
DR CongoK+0—————-0.1%———
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0————+0.2%+0.2%———
BelgiumG+0————-0.3%—+0.2%——
AlgeriaJ+0————+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%——
SpainH+0——————+0.2%-0.4%—
SenegalI+0————+0.3%——-0.3%—
NorwayI+0—————+0.3%———
AustraliaD+0————-0.4%—-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%
CanadaB+0——————-1.3%-0.4%-0.1%
PortugalK+0—————-0.1%-0.2%-0.4%-0.1%
AustriaJ+0———————-0.2%-0.2%
EnglandL+0—————+0.1%—+0.2%-0.2%
BrazilC+0—————-0.3%——-0.2%
United StatesD+0————-0.2%-0.3%—-0.5%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0————+0.3%-0.2%-0.1%—-0.2%
CroatiaL+0——————-0.3%-0.4%-0.3%
ArgentinaJ+0————-0.1%—+0.4%+0.1%-0.3%
ParaguayD+0—————-5.9%-2.9%-1.3%-0.4%
MoroccoC+0——————-2.3%-1.1%-0.6%
SwedenF-11————-25.1%-11.9%-5.7%-2.1%-0.8%