Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

United States2–0Bosnia and Herzegovina

Elo change: United States +17

Pre-game: 78% / 21%

Bosnia and Herzegovina goals →
012345+
← United States goals06.7%4.6%1.6%
113.4%9.3%3.2%0.7%
213.6%9.4%3.2%0.7%
39.1%6.3%2.2%0.5%
44.6%3.2%1.1%
5+2.7%1.9%0.6%

Gold = actual result (2–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
United StatesD+17————+21.8%+13.6%+5.7%+2.8%+1.2%
NorwayI+0—————-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%+0.1%
ParaguayD+0—————+0.7%+0.3%—+0.1%
CanadaB+0—————+0.4%+0.5%——
AustraliaD+0————-0.2%————
ColombiaK+0————+0.3%+0.2%———
ArgentinaJ+0————+0.1%——+0.1%—
SwitzerlandB+0————-0.2%————
MexicoA+0—————-0.3%-0.2%——
AlgeriaJ+0————+0.2%—+0.1%——
BrazilC+0—————+0.3%+0.3%+0.1%—
Cabo VerdeH+0————-0.1%————
GhanaL+0————-0.3%-0.2%———
PortugalK+0——————-0.3%-0.2%—
EnglandL+0—————+0.3%+0.1%——
AustriaJ+0————+0.2%+0.2%-0.1%-0.3%—
FranceI+0—————-0.7%-0.6%——
EgyptG+0————+0.2%—+0.1%——
CroatiaL+0——————-0.2%-0.2%—
MoroccoC+0—————-0.4%-0.1%+0.1%-0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB-17————-21.8%-7.5%-1.8%-0.6%-0.2%
SpainH+0————-0.2%—-0.9%-0.9%-0.4%
BelgiumG+0—————-6.1%-2.3%-1.0%-0.5%