Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

United States20Bosnia and Herzegovina

Elo change: United States +17

Pre-game: 78% / 21%

Bosnia and Herzegovina goals →
012345+
United States goals06.7%4.6%1.6%
113.4%9.3%3.2%0.7%
213.6%9.4%3.2%0.7%
39.1%6.3%2.2%0.5%
44.6%3.2%1.1%
5+2.7%1.9%0.6%

Gold = actual result (2–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
United StatesD+17+21.8%+13.6%+5.7%+2.8%+1.2%
NorwayI+0-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%+0.1%
ParaguayD+0+0.7%+0.3%+0.1%
CanadaB+0+0.4%+0.5%
AustraliaD+0-0.2%
ColombiaK+0+0.3%+0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.1%+0.1%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.2%
MexicoA+0-0.3%-0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.2%+0.1%
BrazilC+0+0.3%+0.3%+0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.1%
GhanaL+0-0.3%-0.2%
PortugalK+0-0.3%-0.2%
EnglandL+0+0.3%+0.1%
AustriaJ+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.1%-0.3%
FranceI+0-0.7%-0.6%
EgyptG+0+0.2%+0.1%
CroatiaL+0-0.2%-0.2%
MoroccoC+0-0.4%-0.1%+0.1%-0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB-17-21.8%-7.5%-1.8%-0.6%-0.2%
SpainH+0-0.2%-0.9%-0.9%-0.4%
BelgiumG+0-6.1%-2.3%-1.0%-0.5%