Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Colombia1–0Ghana

Elo change: Colombia +5

Pre-game: 86% / 14%

Ghana goals →
012345+
← Colombia goals03.7%2.6%0.9%
19.8%6.6%2.3%0.5%
212.7%8.6%2.9%0.7%
311.0%7.5%2.6%0.6%
47.2%4.9%1.7%
5+6.2%4.2%1.4%

Gold = actual result (1–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
ColombiaK+5————+14.4%+7.7%+3.6%+1.9%+1.1%
EnglandL+0—————-0.3%——+0.3%
ParaguayD+0—————-0.5%-0.1%+0.2%+0.1%
United StatesD+0——————+0.2%-0.1%—
MoroccoC+0—————-0.2%—-0.2%—
NorwayI+0—————+0.4%+0.1%+0.2%—
CanadaB+0—————+0.2%—+0.1%—
GhanaL-5————-14.4%-4.4%-0.7%-0.2%—
MexicoA+0—————+0.3%—-0.3%—
BelgiumG+0——————+0.2%+0.2%—
BrazilC+0—————-0.4%-0.1%——
EgyptG+0——————-0.2%-0.2%—
SpainH+0—————+0.5%——-0.1%
PortugalK+0—————-0.5%-0.4%-0.1%-0.2%
FranceI+0—————+0.5%+0.2%—-0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0——————-1.6%-0.8%-0.4%
SwitzerlandB+0—————-3.3%-1.2%-0.5%-0.5%