Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Australia1–1Egypt(2–4 pens)

Elo change: Australia -5

Pre-game: 53% / 47%

Egypt goals →
012345+
← Australia goals08.6%10.0%5.9%2.3%0.7%
111.0%12.9%7.5%2.9%0.9%
27.1%8.3%4.8%1.9%0.6%
33.0%3.6%2.1%0.8%
41.0%1.1%0.7%
5+

Gold = actual result (1–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
ArgentinaJ+0—————+7.0%+4.0%+2.4%+1.1%
EgyptG+5————+52.6%+7.8%+2.8%+0.8%+0.3%
MexicoA+0—————+0.3%+0.4%—+0.2%
EnglandL+0—————-0.3%-0.2%—+0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0————————+0.2%
MoroccoC+0——————+0.2%+0.1%+0.1%
CanadaB+0—————————
ColombiaK+0————+0.1%—-0.2%-0.2%—
Cabo VerdeH+0—————+0.2%———
GhanaL+0————-0.1%————
BelgiumG+0—————-0.2%-0.1%——
PortugalK+0—————————
United StatesD+0—————+0.2%-0.1%——
NorwayI+0—————+0.4%+0.2%—-0.1%
BrazilC+0—————-0.4%-0.4%-0.5%-0.2%
ParaguayD+0——————-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
SpainH+0——————+0.1%—-0.2%
FranceI+0———————-0.2%-0.3%
AustraliaD-5————-52.6%-14.9%-6.5%-2.6%-1.0%