Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Paraguay0–1France

Elo change: Paraguay -9

Pre-game: 30% / 70%

France goals →
012345+
← Paraguay goals07.0%12.3%10.9%6.4%2.8%1.4%
16.2%11.0%9.8%5.8%2.5%1.3%
22.8%4.9%4.4%2.6%1.1%0.6%
30.8%1.5%1.3%0.8%
4
5+

Gold = actual result (0–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
FranceI+9—————+30.3%+17.0%+9.7%+5.1%
BrazilC+0—————+0.1%—+0.2%—
EgyptG+0—————-0.2%+0.2%+0.1%—
MexicoA+0—————+0.1%+0.4%——
NorwayI+0—————-0.1%-0.4%——
EnglandL+0—————-0.1%—+0.3%-0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0—————+0.2%+0.2%—-0.2%
BelgiumG+0—————-0.4%-0.1%-0.6%-0.3%
PortugalK+0—————+0.3%—-0.7%-0.3%
United StatesD+0—————+0.4%—-0.9%-0.3%
ColombiaK+0—————-0.2%-0.1%-0.4%-0.3%
ArgentinaJ+0—————+0.2%-0.3%-0.4%-0.4%
MoroccoC+0——————-2.8%-1.1%-0.5%
SpainH+0—————-0.3%+0.1%-1.2%-0.7%
ParaguayD-9—————-30.3%-14.2%-5.2%-2.0%