Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Paraguay01France

Elo change: Paraguay -9

Pre-game: 30% / 70%

France goals →
012345+
Paraguay goals07.0%12.3%10.9%6.4%2.8%1.4%
16.2%11.0%9.8%5.8%2.5%1.3%
22.8%4.9%4.4%2.6%1.1%0.6%
30.8%1.5%1.3%0.8%
4
5+

Gold = actual result (0–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
FranceI+9+30.3%+17.0%+9.7%+5.1%
BrazilC+0+0.1%+0.2%
EgyptG+0-0.2%+0.2%+0.1%
MexicoA+0+0.1%+0.4%
NorwayI+0-0.1%-0.4%
EnglandL+0-0.1%+0.3%-0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.2%+0.2%-0.2%
BelgiumG+0-0.4%-0.1%-0.6%-0.3%
PortugalK+0+0.3%-0.7%-0.3%
United StatesD+0+0.4%-0.9%-0.3%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%-0.1%-0.4%-0.3%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.2%-0.3%-0.4%-0.4%
MoroccoC+0-2.8%-1.1%-0.5%
SpainH+0-0.3%+0.1%-1.2%-0.7%
ParaguayD-9-30.3%-14.2%-5.2%-2.0%