Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

United States14Belgium

Elo change: United States -51

Pre-game: 55% / 45%

Belgium goals →
012345+
United States goals010.2%10.6%5.5%1.9%0.5%
112.7%13.2%6.9%2.4%0.6%
27.9%8.2%4.3%1.5%
33.3%3.4%1.8%0.6%
41.0%1.1%0.6%
5+

Gold = actual result (1–4).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
SpainH+18+39.0%+26.0%+14.6%+8.1%
EgyptG+0-0.3%
NorwayI+0
ColombiaK+0+0.6%-0.1%-0.1%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.4%+0.8%+0.4%-0.2%
MoroccoC+0+0.3%-0.7%-0.2%
BelgiumG+0+0.8%-1.1%-0.6%-0.3%
United StatesD+0-0.8%-2.0%-0.7%-0.3%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.6%-0.6%-0.3%-0.4%
EnglandL+0-0.2%-0.5%
FranceI+0-0.3%-1.4%-0.7%
PortugalK-18-39.0%-23.0%-11.3%-5.6%