Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Portugal01Spain

Elo change: Portugal -18

Pre-game: 39% / 61%

Spain goals →
012345+
Portugal goals08.7%12.6%9.1%4.4%1.6%0.6%
18.6%12.5%9.1%4.4%1.6%0.6%
24.3%6.2%4.5%2.2%0.8%
31.4%2.1%1.5%0.7%
40.5%
5+

Gold = actual result (0–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
EnglandL+30+43.4%+24.8%+12.9%+6.6%
SpainH+0+0.2%+0.1%
BelgiumG+0-0.4%+0.2%+0.3%
SwitzerlandB+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.3%
MoroccoC+0-0.2%
EgyptG+0-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
United StatesD+0+0.4%+0.1%+0.2%-0.2%
FranceI+0+0.2%-0.2%
ColombiaK+0+0.2%+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%
PortugalK+0-0.2%-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%
NorwayI+0-2.8%-1.0%-0.5%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.1%-0.1%-1.1%-0.6%
MexicoA-30-43.4%-22.0%-9.9%-4.4%