Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Portugal0–1Spain

Elo change: Portugal -18

Pre-game: 39% / 61%

Spain goals →
012345+
← Portugal goals08.7%12.6%9.1%4.4%1.6%0.6%
18.6%12.5%9.1%4.4%1.6%0.6%
24.3%6.2%4.5%2.2%0.8%
31.4%2.1%1.5%0.7%
40.5%
5+

Gold = actual result (0–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
EnglandL+30—————+43.4%+24.8%+12.9%+6.6%
SpainH+0—————+0.2%+0.1%——
BelgiumG+0—————-0.4%+0.2%+0.3%—
SwitzerlandB+0—————-0.2%+0.2%-0.3%—
MoroccoC+0——————-0.2%——
EgyptG+0—————-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
United StatesD+0—————+0.4%+0.1%+0.2%-0.2%
FranceI+0——————+0.2%—-0.2%
ColombiaK+0—————+0.2%+0.1%-0.3%-0.2%
PortugalK+0—————-0.2%-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%
NorwayI+0——————-2.8%-1.0%-0.5%
ArgentinaJ+0—————+0.1%-0.1%-1.1%-0.6%
MexicoA-30—————-43.4%-22.0%-9.9%-4.4%