Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Brazil1–2Norway

Elo change: Brazil -38

Pre-game: 57% / 43%

Norway goals →
012345+
← Brazil goals09.2%9.8%5.2%1.8%0.5%
112.2%12.9%6.8%2.4%0.6%
28.1%8.6%4.5%1.6%
33.6%3.8%2.0%0.7%
41.2%1.3%0.7%
5+

Gold = actual result (1–2).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
NorwayI+38—————+56.7%+26.7%+11.8%+5.3%
ArgentinaJ+0—————-0.5%-0.1%+0.8%+0.4%
EnglandL+0——————+1.4%+0.6%+0.4%
FranceI+0——————+0.8%+0.2%+0.3%
ColombiaK+0—————-0.3%—+0.3%+0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0—————+0.3%—+0.3%+0.2%
PortugalK+0——————+0.4%+0.4%+0.1%
United StatesD+0—————-0.3%—-0.1%—
MexicoA+0——————+1.0%+0.5%—
EgyptG+0—————+0.5%+0.2%——
BelgiumG+0—————+0.3%-0.3%-0.2%—
SpainH+0———————+0.1%—
MoroccoC+0——————-0.8%-0.4%—
BrazilC-38—————-56.7%-29.0%-14.4%-7.1%