Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Mexico23England

Elo change: Mexico -30

Pre-game: 43% / 56%

England goals →
012345+
Mexico goals09.2%12.2%8.1%3.6%1.2%
19.8%12.9%8.6%3.8%1.3%
25.2%6.8%4.5%2.0%0.7%
31.8%2.4%1.6%0.7%
40.5%0.6%
5+

Gold = actual result (2–3).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
SpainH+13+37.9%+19.6%+11.4%
NorwayI+0+0.4%-0.1%-0.4%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.1%+0.1%-0.6%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.1%+0.2%-0.6%
EnglandL+0-0.4%-0.2%-0.9%
FranceI+0-4.2%-1.8%
BelgiumG-13-37.9%-15.4%-7.1%