Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

United States23Turkey

Elo change: United States -39

Pre-game: 53% / 26% / 21%

Turkey goals →
012345+
United States goals08.9%7.8%3.4%1.0%
113.7%12.1%5.3%1.5%
210.6%9.3%4.1%1.2%
35.4%4.7%2.1%0.6%
42.1%1.8%0.8%
5+0.8%0.7%

Gold = actual result (2–3).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
TurkeyD+39+24.1%+24.1%+11.3%+5.1%+2.6%+1.1%+0.5%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.5%+0.9%+0.5%+0.4%
SpainH+0+0.3%-0.2%-0.2%+0.8%+0.4%+0.3%
CroatiaL+0+0.5%-0.6%-1.6%-1.6%-0.5%-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%
PortugalK+0-0.3%+0.3%-0.3%+0.7%+0.4%+0.1%
NetherlandsF+0-0.2%-0.3%+0.1%+0.3%+0.1%
MoroccoC+0+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%+0.4%+0.1%
UruguayH+0-0.3%+0.3%+0.1%
South KoreaA+0+0.6%+0.6%+0.7%+1.6%+0.4%+0.1%
CanadaB+0+0.6%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%
MexicoA+0+0.3%+0.7%+0.1%
SenegalI+0-0.1%
AustriaJ+0+0.2%-1.3%-1.2%-0.8%-0.4%+0.1%
GermanyE+0-1.8%-0.5%+0.3%
ColombiaK+0+0.3%-0.3%+0.3%+0.3%+0.3%
South AfricaA+0-0.6%-0.4%-0.2%
SwedenF+0+0.2%+0.1%-0.1%
BrazilC+0-0.3%
EcuadorE+0+0.4%+0.2%+0.3%+0.1%
IranG+0+0.4%-0.1%+0.3%+0.4%
Ivory CoastE+0
GhanaL+0+0.1%+0.1%+0.2%+0.1%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0+2.1%+1.0%+0.1%
EnglandL+0-0.4%+0.4%-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%
New ZealandG+0
UzbekistanK+0-0.2%-0.2%
IraqI+0-0.5%-0.5%-0.1%
Cabo VerdeH+0+0.1%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.1%
NorwayI+0-0.3%-0.3%
ScotlandC+0-4.2%-4.2%-1.7%-0.7%-0.3%-0.1%
AustraliaD+0+0.2%-4.5%-4.2%-1.8%-1.0%-0.5%-0.2%
EgyptG+0-0.4%+0.1%+0.3%-0.4%+0.4%-0.2%-0.2%
JapanF+0+0.3%+0.1%-0.2%
DR CongoK+0-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.1%-2.2%-2.3%-0.8%-0.5%-0.3%-0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
FranceI+0-0.2%-0.8%-0.6%-0.4%
BelgiumG+0-0.2%+0.4%-0.1%-0.1%
ParaguayD+0-0.3%-10.0%-10.3%-4.1%-1.9%-0.9%-0.4%-0.2%
United StatesD-39-2.1%-4.1%-3.6%-2.6%-1.5%