Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

United States2–3Turkey

Elo change: United States -39

Pre-game: 53% / 26% / 21%

Turkey goals →
012345+
← United States goals08.9%7.8%3.4%1.0%
113.7%12.1%5.3%1.5%
210.6%9.3%4.1%1.2%
35.4%4.7%2.1%0.6%
42.1%1.8%0.8%
5+0.8%0.7%

Gold = actual result (2–3).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
TurkeyD+39——+24.1%+24.1%+11.3%+5.1%+2.6%+1.1%+0.5%
ArgentinaJ+0—————+0.5%+0.9%+0.5%+0.4%
SpainH+0+0.3%-0.2%-0.2%———+0.8%+0.4%+0.3%
CroatiaL+0+0.5%-0.6%-1.6%-1.6%-0.5%-0.2%—+0.1%+0.2%
PortugalK+0-0.3%+0.3%——-0.3%—+0.7%+0.4%+0.1%
NetherlandsF+0————-0.2%-0.3%+0.1%+0.3%+0.1%
MoroccoC+0————+0.2%+0.3%+0.3%+0.4%+0.1%
UruguayH+0-0.3%—+0.3%———+0.1%——
South KoreaA+0——+0.6%+0.6%+0.7%+1.6%+0.4%+0.1%—
CanadaB+0————+0.6%+0.4%+0.2%+0.2%—
MexicoA+0————+0.3%+0.7%+0.1%——
SenegalI+0————-0.1%————
AustriaJ+0—+0.2%-1.3%-1.2%-0.8%-0.4%+0.1%——
GermanyE+0————-1.8%-0.5%—+0.3%—
ColombiaK+0+0.3%-0.3%———+0.3%+0.3%+0.3%—
South AfricaA+0————-0.6%-0.4%-0.2%——
SwedenF+0————+0.2%+0.1%-0.1%——
BrazilC+0————-0.3%————
EcuadorE+0————+0.4%+0.2%+0.3%+0.1%—
IranG+0+0.4%—-0.1%+0.3%—+0.4%———
Ivory CoastE+0—————————
GhanaL+0—+0.1%——+0.1%+0.2%+0.1%——
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0————+2.1%+1.0%+0.1%——
EnglandL+0-0.4%+0.4%——-0.3%-0.2%-0.1%——
New ZealandG+0—————————
UzbekistanK+0——-0.2%-0.2%—————
IraqI+0——-0.5%-0.5%-0.1%————
Cabo VerdeH+0————+0.1%————
Saudi ArabiaH+0—+0.1%———————
NorwayI+0—————-0.3%-0.3%——
ScotlandC+0——-4.2%-4.2%-1.7%-0.7%-0.3%-0.1%—
AustraliaD+0—+0.2%-4.5%-4.2%-1.8%-1.0%-0.5%-0.2%—
EgyptG+0-0.4%+0.1%+0.3%—-0.4%+0.4%-0.2%-0.2%—
JapanF+0————+0.3%+0.1%—-0.2%—
DR CongoK+0——-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%————
AlgeriaJ+0—-0.1%-2.2%-2.3%-0.8%-0.5%-0.3%-0.2%—
SwitzerlandB+0————+0.2%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%—
FranceI+0————-0.2%-0.8%-0.6%-0.4%—
BelgiumG+0————-0.2%+0.4%—-0.1%-0.1%
ParaguayD+0—-0.3%-10.0%-10.3%-4.1%-1.9%-0.9%-0.4%-0.2%
United StatesD-39————-2.1%-4.1%-3.6%-2.6%-1.5%