Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Paraguay0–0Australia

Elo change: Paraguay -1

Pre-game: 38% / 27% / 35%

Australia goals →
012345+
← Paraguay goals08.7%10.4%6.2%2.4%0.7%
110.9%13.0%7.7%3.1%0.9%
26.8%8.1%4.8%1.9%0.6%
32.8%3.4%2.0%0.8%
40.9%1.1%0.6%
5+

Gold = actual result (0–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin ▼
ParaguayD-1—-35.3%+72.9%+37.6%+12.9%+7.5%+4.0%+1.7%+0.8%
SpainH+0-0.1%+0.1%——+0.2%+0.1%—+0.3%+0.3%
AustraliaD+1-0.3%+35.6%-19.0%+16.3%+9.4%+2.0%+0.7%+0.3%+0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0————-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%—+0.1%
EgyptG+0+0.6%—-0.6%—+0.7%+0.8%+0.3%+0.2%—
United StatesD+0+0.3%-0.3%———-0.9%-0.3%——
UruguayH+0—+0.2%-0.8%-0.5%+0.1%—-0.2%——
SwitzerlandB+0————+0.3%+0.3%+0.4%+0.3%—
MexicoA+0————+0.3%+0.2%—+0.1%—
BelgiumG+0-0.5%+0.2%-0.4%-0.6%+0.3%————
AustriaJ+0—-0.3%-2.7%-2.9%-1.0%-0.3%———
DR CongoK+0——+0.4%+0.4%+0.3%————
EnglandL+0+0.4%-0.4%——+0.3%—-0.2%——
AlgeriaJ+0—+0.3%+0.1%+0.4%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%——
Saudi ArabiaH+0—-0.2%—-0.3%+0.3%————
New ZealandG+0—+0.2%—+0.2%+0.4%————
PanamaL+0——-0.4%-0.4%—————
ScotlandC+0——-0.2%-0.2%—————
IraqI+0—————————
JordanJ+0——-0.1%-0.1%—————
UzbekistanK+0—————————
Cabo VerdeH+0——-0.2%-0.2%+0.3%————
South AfricaA+0—————+0.3%+0.1%——
PortugalK+0+0.2%-0.2%——+0.3%—-0.3%——
Ivory CoastE+0————+0.2%+0.1%———
GermanyE+0————-0.4%——-0.3%—
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0—————————
SwedenF+0————-1.9%-0.3%———
GhanaL+0—-0.2%+0.2%—-0.1%-0.2%———
CanadaB+0—————-0.2%———
JapanF+0—————+0.1%+0.4%+0.1%—
CroatiaL+0-0.3%+0.6%-1.1%-0.8%-0.6%-0.4%———
IranG+0-0.2%-0.3%-0.5%-0.9%—+0.1%———
BrazilC+0—————-0.2%—-0.1%—
NetherlandsF+0————+0.1%+0.3%-0.2%——
FranceI+0-0.2%+0.2%———————
SenegalI+0——-5.8%-5.8%-2.5%-1.0%-0.4%-0.2%—
South KoreaA+0——-14.1%-14.1%-6.6%-2.3%-0.8%-0.3%-0.1%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%+0.2%——-0.3%-0.5%-0.4%-0.4%-0.1%
EcuadorE+0——————-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
NorwayI+0+0.2%-0.2%——+0.1%+0.2%+0.4%—-0.1%
MoroccoC+0————-0.1%-0.4%-0.7%-0.4%-0.2%
TurkeyD+0——-27.9%-27.9%-13.0%-5.8%-3.0%-1.3%-0.6%