Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Paraguay00Australia

Elo change: Paraguay -1

Pre-game: 38% / 27% / 35%

Australia goals →
012345+
Paraguay goals08.7%10.4%6.2%2.4%0.7%
110.9%13.0%7.7%3.1%0.9%
26.8%8.1%4.8%1.9%0.6%
32.8%3.4%2.0%0.8%
40.9%1.1%0.6%
5+

Gold = actual result (0–0).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
ParaguayD-1-35.3%+72.9%+37.6%+12.9%+7.5%+4.0%+1.7%+0.8%
SpainH+0-0.1%+0.1%+0.2%+0.1%+0.3%+0.3%
AustraliaD+1-0.3%+35.6%-19.0%+16.3%+9.4%+2.0%+0.7%+0.3%+0.2%
ArgentinaJ+0-0.2%-0.2%-0.1%+0.1%
EgyptG+0+0.6%-0.6%+0.7%+0.8%+0.3%+0.2%
United StatesD+0+0.3%-0.3%-0.9%-0.3%
UruguayH+0+0.2%-0.8%-0.5%+0.1%-0.2%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.3%+0.3%+0.4%+0.3%
MexicoA+0+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
BelgiumG+0-0.5%+0.2%-0.4%-0.6%+0.3%
AustriaJ+0-0.3%-2.7%-2.9%-1.0%-0.3%
DR CongoK+0+0.4%+0.4%+0.3%
EnglandL+0+0.4%-0.4%+0.3%-0.2%
AlgeriaJ+0+0.3%+0.1%+0.4%+0.2%+0.3%+0.2%
Saudi ArabiaH+0-0.2%-0.3%+0.3%
New ZealandG+0+0.2%+0.2%+0.4%
PanamaL+0-0.4%-0.4%
ScotlandC+0-0.2%-0.2%
IraqI+0
JordanJ+0-0.1%-0.1%
UzbekistanK+0
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.2%-0.2%+0.3%
South AfricaA+0+0.3%+0.1%
PortugalK+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.3%-0.3%
Ivory CoastE+0+0.2%+0.1%
GermanyE+0-0.4%-0.3%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0
SwedenF+0-1.9%-0.3%
GhanaL+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
CanadaB+0-0.2%
JapanF+0+0.1%+0.4%+0.1%
CroatiaL+0-0.3%+0.6%-1.1%-0.8%-0.6%-0.4%
IranG+0-0.2%-0.3%-0.5%-0.9%+0.1%
BrazilC+0-0.2%-0.1%
NetherlandsF+0+0.1%+0.3%-0.2%
FranceI+0-0.2%+0.2%
SenegalI+0-5.8%-5.8%-2.5%-1.0%-0.4%-0.2%
South KoreaA+0-14.1%-14.1%-6.6%-2.3%-0.8%-0.3%-0.1%
ColombiaK+0-0.2%+0.2%-0.3%-0.5%-0.4%-0.4%-0.1%
EcuadorE+0-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
NorwayI+0+0.2%-0.2%+0.1%+0.2%+0.4%-0.1%
MoroccoC+0-0.1%-0.4%-0.7%-0.4%-0.2%
TurkeyD+0-27.9%-27.9%-13.0%-5.8%-3.0%-1.3%-0.6%