Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

France41Norway

Elo change: France +33

Pre-game: 45% / 27% / 28%

Norway goals →
012345+
France goals09.2%9.4%4.8%1.6%
112.6%12.8%6.5%2.2%0.6%
28.6%8.8%4.5%1.5%
33.9%4.0%2.0%0.7%
41.3%1.4%0.7%
5+0.5%0.5%

Gold = actual result (4–1).

Click a team name to view their stats.

CountryGrpElo Δ1st (grp)2nd (grp)3rd (adv)R32R16QFSFFinalWin
FranceI+33+27.8%-27.8%+4.5%+6.4%+5.7%+3.8%+2.4%
EnglandL+0-0.1%+0.3%+0.6%+0.2%+0.2%
EcuadorE+0+0.3%+0.1%+0.2%
BelgiumG+0+0.3%+0.2%-0.3%+0.3%+0.3%+0.2%+0.1%
MoroccoC+0-0.1%+0.1%-0.4%-0.2%+0.1%
JapanF+0-0.5%+0.9%+0.1%+0.2%
BrazilC+0+0.5%+2.0%+0.9%+0.6%
Ivory CoastE+0+3.5%+1.3%+0.7%+0.3%
SwitzerlandB+0+0.9%+0.6%+0.2%
South KoreaA+0+0.3%+0.3%+0.3%+0.2%
ColombiaK+0+0.1%-0.1%+0.3%+0.4%+0.2%
IranG+0+0.1%-0.3%-0.5%-0.1%
AustraliaD+0+0.1%+0.1%+0.1%
AlgeriaJ+0-0.3%-0.3%-0.6%-0.1%
JordanJ+0
PanamaL+0+0.1%+0.1%
GhanaL+0-0.1%+0.3%-0.1%+0.4%+0.3%+0.1%
New ZealandG+0-0.1%-0.2%
Bosnia and HerzegovinaB+0-0.3%
AustriaJ+0+0.3%+0.4%-0.2%-0.1%
DR CongoK+0-0.2%
Saudi ArabiaH+0+0.1%+0.1%
CanadaB+0-0.5%-0.6%-0.2%
ScotlandC+0-0.1%
South AfricaA+0+0.5%-0.1%-0.5%
Cabo VerdeH+0-0.1%
MexicoA+0-0.2%+0.6%
PortugalK+0-0.1%+0.2%-0.1%+0.2%
SenegalI+0-0.4%-0.4%-0.2%-0.2%-0.2%
ParaguayD+0+0.5%-2.3%-1.3%-0.5%
SwedenF+0-6.3%-2.6%-1.1%-0.4%-0.1%
EgyptG+0-0.2%-0.6%-0.7%-0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
UruguayH+0-0.1%-0.3%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%
GermanyE+0-0.5%-2.9%-1.7%-0.6%-0.2%
CroatiaL+0+0.3%-0.4%+0.3%+0.2%-0.3%-0.3%
NetherlandsF+0+0.1%-1.1%-0.4%-0.3%
United StatesD+0+0.6%-0.7%-0.3%
SpainH+0+0.1%-0.2%-0.2%-0.7%-0.3%
ArgentinaJ+0+0.3%-0.5%+0.2%-0.5%
NorwayI-33-27.8%+27.8%-1.7%-2.8%-2.3%-1.2%-0.6%