Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Group D

Avg Elo 1802· Elo spread 105· 6 played· 2.5 goals/game

Standings

#CountryPtsGD1st%2nd%3rd%
16+4✓––
240–✓–
34-2––✓
43-2–––
Advance direct Best 3rd

Bold = host nation — receives +102 Elo home advantage in all simulated games.

Head-to-Head

United States
Australia
Paraguay
Turkey
United States
—2–04–12–3
Australia
0–2—0–02–0
Paraguay
1–40–0—1–0
Turkey
3–20–20–1—

Completed: score from row team's view (green = win). Upcoming: row team's win probability. Click any cell for game detail.

Odds History