Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Group D

Avg Elo 1802· Elo spread 105· 6 played· 2.5 goals/game

Standings

#CountryPtsGD1st%2nd%3rd%
16+4
240
34-2
43-2
Advance direct Best 3rd

Bold = host nation — receives +102 Elo home advantage in all simulated games.

Head-to-Head

United States
Australia
Paraguay
Turkey
United States
204123
Australia
020020
Paraguay
140010
Turkey
320201

Completed: score from row team's view (green = win). Upcoming: row team's win probability. Click any cell for game detail.

Odds History