Elo Forecast

World Cup 2026

Group I

Avg Elo 1862· Elo spread 560· 6 played· 4.5 goals/game

Standings

#CountryPtsGD1st%2nd%3rd%
19+8✓––
26+1–✓–
33+2––✓
40-11–––
Advance direct Best 3rd

Bold = host nation — receives +102 Elo home advantage in all simulated games.

Head-to-Head

France
Norway
Senegal
Iraq
France
—4–13–13–0
Norway
1–4—3–24–1
Senegal
1–32–3—5–0
Iraq
0–31–40–5—

Completed: score from row team's view (green = win). Upcoming: row team's win probability. Click any cell for game detail.

Odds History